Weather index and weighted LS-SVM-based power system short-term load prediction method

A short-term load forecasting and power system technology, applied in forecasting, data processing applications, instruments, etc., can solve problems such as slow learning speed, low forecasting accuracy, and weak generalization ability

Inactive Publication Date: 2018-08-17
WUHAN UNIV
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Problems solved by technology

[0004] The technical problem to be solved by the present invention is to provide a short-term load forecasting method of power system based on met

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  • Weather index and weighted LS-SVM-based power system short-term load prediction method
  • Weather index and weighted LS-SVM-based power system short-term load prediction method
  • Weather index and weighted LS-SVM-based power system short-term load prediction method

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[0074] In order to make the object, technical solution and advantages of the present invention clearer, the present invention will be further described in detail below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings and embodiments. It should be understood that the specific embodiments described here are only used to explain the present invention, not to limit the present invention.

[0075] Such as figure 1 Shown, is the schematic flow chart of the short-term load forecasting method of the electric power system based on the weighted LS-SVM of weather index of the present invention based on meteorological comprehensive index and weighted least squares support vector machine, a kind of based on meteorological comprehensive index and weighted least squares support The short-term load forecasting method of the power system based on the weighted LS-SVM of the meteorological index of the vector machine specifically includes the following steps:

[0076] S1. Obtain historical data relat

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Abstract

The invention discloses a weather index and weighted LS-SVM-based power system short-term load prediction method. The method comprises the following steps of S1, obtaining a sample of original data; S2, according to the original data, calculating a comprehensive weather index; S3, performing data preprocessing on date type data and the comprehensive weather index; S4, according to an obtained dimensionless load characteristic quantity, performing gray correlation analysis between the dimensionless load characteristic quantity and a power system load, and calculating a characteristic quantity weight through a correlation degree obtained by the gray correlation analysis; and S5, building a weather index and weighted LS-SVM-based power system short-term load prediction model, performing parameter optimization by adopting a fruit fry optimization algorithm, and obtaining power system load prediction data of a to-be-predicted day through model output. The method has very good global optimization performance and few adjustment parameters, difficultly falls into local minimum and can effectively improve the power system short-term load prediction precision.

Description

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Application Information

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Owner WUHAN UNIV
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