Training sample grouping construction method used for support vector regression (SVR) short-term load forecasting

A technology of short-term load forecasting and training samples, applied in special data processing applications, instruments, electrical digital data processing, etc., can solve problems such as poor reliability, less research, and unsatisfactory training samples, so as to improve load forecasting accuracy and avoid time-consuming The effect of high complexity

Inactive Publication Date: 2013-05-15
NORTH CHINA ELECTRIC POWER UNIV (BAODING)
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  • Abstract
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Problems solved by technology

The second direction is the research on the construction of training samples, and the current research is relatively small
Using this method can remove factors with weak correlation and reduce the

Method used

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  • Training sample grouping construction method used for support vector regression (SVR) short-term load forecasting
  • Training sample grouping construction method used for support vector regression (SVR) short-term load forecasting
  • Training sample grouping construction method used for support vector regression (SVR) short-term load forecasting

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Embodiment Construction

[0018] The present invention will be further described below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings and specific embodiments.

[0019] figure 1 It is a schematic diagram of the present invention. refer to figure 1 As shown, the present invention first analyzes the Dunn's correlation between each time interval and all other time intervals; then, according to the calculated correlation, the prediction problem is grouped according to the time intervals to solve the problem that the proportion of certain types of data in the entire data set is too small problem with a huge sample size; then, construct a reference load matrix including simulated forecast load and reference load for each group, and use the reference load matrix to construct a load change rate matrix; finally, use the load change rate matrix to calculate the Fitting variance, according to the fitting variance, select reference loads to construct training samples for each group of questions.

[0020] It is assu

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Abstract

The invention discloses a training sample grouping construction method used for support vector regression (SVR) short-term load forecasting, and belongs to the field of intelligent computing and machine study. The training sample grouping construction method comprises a step of analyzing correlation, wherein the correlation degree of the load of each time interval and the loads of other time intervals is analyzed through the Tangs correlation degree of the grey correlation degree to form a correlation degree matrix; a step of grouping prediction problems, wherein the time intervals with high load correlation degree are divided into one group according to the correlation degree matrix; a step of constructing a reference load matrix; a step of selecting a reference load to construct a training sample, wherein linear function fitting is carried out on each row of the loads in a load variation rate matrix in a least square fit mode, and fitting variance is calculated; and a step of selecting the load of the time interval with small fitting variance to serve as the forecasting reference load of the group. The training sample grouping construction method used for the SVR short-term load forecasting is capable of improving the load forecasting accuracy, and avoids the problem of high time complexity. The experiment result shows that a short-term load forecasting model trained by the training sample constructed through the method has good performance in forecasting accuracy and time complexity.

Description

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Claims

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Application Information

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Owner NORTH CHINA ELECTRIC POWER UNIV (BAODING)
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