The embodiment of the invention provides a method for maintaining the fixed capacity of a high-speed railway network diagram under abnormal events.
Train delays are predicted with a GBRT model, an optimized model of a
train delay operation substitute diagram based on operation adjustment is constructed, a feasible
train operation diagram is generated, and the high-speed railway network capacity under the abnormal event is calculated; the road capacity is calculated from the generated
train operation diagram after adjustment, a high-speed railway network capacity weight network under the abnormal events is established, and thus a high-speed railway capacity
bottleneck road section is further distinguished; an OPENTRACK
simulation software is utilized to simulate high-speed railway operationunder different
delay conditions, the capacities of high-speed railway sections and stations under the abnormal events are analyzed, the calculation results are fed back as capacity constraints to analternative diagram optimization model based on operation adjustment, the high-speed railway network capabilities under the abnormal events are iteratively calculated,
accurate estimation of the high-speed railway network capabilities is achieved, capacity retention strategies are generated, and
macro-references are provided for high-speed railway dispatching and operation diagram adjustments.